The Brussels Summit

Volodymyr Zelensky has touched down in Brussels for a high-stakes summit with EU leadership, including European Council President António Costa and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. The vibes are clearly intense. With another brutal winter approaching—the fifth since the full-scale invasion in 2022—the agenda is locked on securing defensive funding and keeping the lights on in Ukraine.

"Russia is trying everything to destroy the energy and water infrastructure, but we stand by your side," Von der Leyen told the Ukrainian president. It’s giving classic European solidarity, but the geopolitical backdrop is getting messy real fast.

The Trump Factor

Back in the States, the relationship between Donald Trump and Zelensky has officially entered its flop era. In a recent interview, the US president didn't hold back, calling Zelensky "more difficult to deal with than Putin" and a guy he's "not a big fan of."

Real talk: the tension is largely about oil. Trump labeled Ukraine’s resumption of strikes on Russian oil refineries a "disgrace," claiming they’re just jacking up global energy prices. This is highkey relevant because the US recently cut a deal to import Russian diesel to cool off American fuel prices—a move Zelensky previously trashed as a gift to the Kremlin.

To make things even more dramatic, the administration has reportedly threatened to pull the plug on intelligence sharing and has already placed restrictions on the Starlink network that Kyiv relies on for defense. Meanwhile, Moscow has denied even agreeing to the temporary energy ceasefire Trump had touted last week.

Ground Reality

While the suits are talking, the war isn't taking a break. A Russian drone strike in Kharkiv recently left several people dead and at least 19 injured. On the flip side, Ukraine launched a massive wave of drones—644 intercepted across 26 Russian regions—which briefly shut down Moscow’s airspace.

Why it matters

Ukraine is being forced to balance an increasingly hostile diplomatic front in Washington against the desperate need for European winter aid. If the US continues to prioritize energy prices over backing Kyiv’s military strategy, Zelensky is in for a long, cold, and lonely winter.