The strategy
Dan Sullivan is out here playing a different game than most vulnerable Republicans. While others are lowkey trying to distance themselves from Donald Trump, Sullivan is leaning in, hoping the President’s presence will give him the W in November. He’s doubling down on the alliance, appearing at rallies and hosting high-profile surrogates like JD Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to energize the base.
The tension
It’s not all sunshine, though. When asked about specific Trump-aligned policies—like the $5,000 dividend promise or new data centers on undeveloped Alaska land—Sullivan is playing it cautious, saying he needs to see the fine print first. He also got a bit defensive when questioned about the administration’s decision to import Russian diesel, firing back, "Is this like a hit piece or what?" He maintains he’s hawkish on Russia, even if he avoids public spats with the White House.
The opposition
His opponent, Mary Peltola, is currently keeping things quiet, shying away from national media attention to focus on local outreach. The polls have them tied or Peltola trailing, but in a state that went for Trump by 13 points two years ago, the vibes are tight. Peltola’s camp is slamming Sullivan for his attendance record and his support for the war in Iran, while Sullivan is busy trying to tie her to the Biden-Harris administration.
Why it matters
This race is a major linchpin for the Senate. With Alaska being one of the few spots where Republicans are fighting to keep their majority, every vote counts. If Sullivan holds on, it proves the "embrace Trump" strategy is still alive and well. If Peltola pulls off the upset, it’s a massive L for the GOP’s hold on the chamber.
