The vibes are immaculate for tonight’s Game 3 showdown between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves. After Philly snagged a clutch 4-3 win in 10 innings on Wednesday to tie the series, it’s giving major main character energy as they fight for a spot in the NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Breakdown
The Braves finished their season with a 94-68 record and have been absolute beasts at home, going 53-30 at Truist Park. Meanwhile, the Phillies are sitting at 88-74 and have proven they can handle the road pressure, holding a 46-37 record away from home this season.
On the mound, we’re looking at right-hander Aaron Nola (7-12, 4.67 ERA) for the Phillies, while the Braves are expected to start righty Grant Holmes (10-6, 3.44 ERA), though an opener is on the table.
By The Numbers
- First pitch is set for 8 p.m. ET at Truist Park.
- History is on Philly's side: They’ve won all three previous postseason series against Atlanta.
- The money line is sitting at -110 for the Phillies, with the over/under set at 7.5.
Why it matters
This is a straight-up W or L situation—the winner moves on to face the Dodgers, and the loser goes home. The SportsLine Projection Model, which is on a 31-25 run for top-rated MLB money-line picks, has run 10,000 simulations and is leaning toward the Over, projecting the teams to combine for 8.5 runs. The model specifically likes Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Trea Turner for the Phillies, and Ronald Acuna Jr., Matt Olson, and Michael Harris for the Braves to put in work at the plate. Say less—it's gonna be a movie.
