If your survivor pool bracket is already looking shaky, you aren’t alone. The first two weeks of the NFL season have been chaotic, with both the Chargers and the Buccaneers causing massive exits for players across the country. The Browns' recent upset over Tampa Bay, specifically, caught a lot of people off guard. With the season moving into Week 3, the pressure to make the right move is higher than ever.

Who should you trust this week?

Going into Sunday, there are three clear favorites on the board: the Chiefs, the Seahawks, and the Lions. While it’s tempting to lock one of them in, you have to consider the long-term game. SportsLine expert R.J. White, who has a track record of over 800 picks against the spread, suggests that looking at the big picture is the best path to winning.

White is specifically advising pool players to avoid the San Francisco 49ers this week. Despite being heavy favorites, they are facing a divisional opponent in the Cardinals—a team that already pulled off a major upset against the Chargers earlier this season. White notes that there are better options available right now, and holding onto the 49ers might be smarter for your roster later in the year. He stated, "(There are) stronger picks on paper to me than the 49ers."

Instead of chasing the obvious, White has identified a different team to back this week. He argues that this specific pick is the best way to get a solid team off your board early while keeping your bigger heavy hitters available for the final stretch of the season.

Why it matters

Survivor pools are a game of endurance, not just weekly wins. If you burn your best teams too early in the season, you’ll be left with nothing but long shots when it matters most in the later weeks.