Breaking the Curse
Real talk: the 'Red September' curse—that seasonal slump that’s haunted crypto for years—is lowkey on its last legs. Bitcoin is currently up 7.33% for the month, putting it just a hair’s breadth away from beating the 7.29% return seen in 2024. If it holds, this will be the best September in the Coinglass price tracker's history. It’s giving main character energy, especially considering that between 2013 and 2025, BTC closed in the red for eight of those thirteen years. This would mark four green Septembers in a row—the longest streak on record.
The Rollercoaster
It wasn't a smooth ride, though. The vibes were definitely off mid-month when the Senate's Clarity Act failed and the Federal Reserve bumped interest rates to 3.75%–4%. Bitcoin took a hit, dipping to $75,000 as the market reacted to the shifting cost of cheap money.
But then the plot thickened. Institutional interest sparked a massive turnaround, with ETFs stacking nearly $3 billion over seven sessions. Shorts got absolutely wrecked—over $800 million liquidated in a single day—sending BTC surging to $87,354.
Current Status
As of today, we’ve seen a slight pullback to around $83,000, partially driven by macro anxiety as Brent crude spiked following President Donald Trump’s rejection of Iran’s terms for the Strait of Hormuz.
Technically speaking, things still look bullish. With a 'golden cross' pattern on the charts and an Average Directional Index reading of 42.3, the trend strength is solid. However, remember that BTC is still roughly 4.4% down from its start-of-year price.
Why it matters
While everyone loves a pump, don't go betting your life savings. Last year, a green September was followed by a messy Q4. Plus, with the Fed’s next meetings looming in October and December, market volatility is the only constant. Stay cautious, keep your risk management tight, and remember: none of this is financial advice.
